Limitations in Application of Probabilistic Concepts*


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Title: Limitations in Application of Probabilistic Concepts*

Author(s): Robert G. Sexsmith and Mark F. Nelson

Publication: Journal Proceedings

Volume: 66

Issue: 10

Appears on pages(s): 823-828

Keywords: beams (supports) ; building codes;decision theory; histograms; loads (forces); probability theory;reinforced concrete; reliability; statistical analysis;strength; structural analysis; structural design.

Date: 10/1/1969

Several difficulties in the application of probabilistic concepts are discussed. Difficulties occur in choosing a probability model, determining parameters of the model, introducing subjective judgment, and in assigning value to the consequences of possible outcomes in a decision situation. Proposed approaches for overcoming the various difficulties are briefly discussed.